Monday 31 December 2018

Another compelling case for crypto-currencies



Globalization has made trade across borders easier while the emergence of companies like Amazon and Alibaba makes it possible for many to buy what they desire and when they want to. With just a few clicks, you can buy the latest IPhone or that special wedding gown, which will be delivered right to your doorstep.

While this is very true for many in Western countries, that is not necessarily the case in the developing world. The global financial system recognizes a few currencies, that it is, the US dollar, Euro, Yen, Yuan, Pound Sterling etc. In fact, global trade is anchored on these currencies because everyone along the chain expects to be paid in those currencies.

So for someone from the Central African Republic or Nepal who wants to buy anything from Amazon, they have to go through some process of changing their money to one of the accepted currencies, although the US dollar is preferred in many cases. This can be done either by an actual visit to a Bureau de Change or bank to convert the local currency into the US dollar, or simply transferring money from a normal bank account into a Visa or Mastercard account.

Either way, there are some costs involved, this means any customer from the two countries incurs an extra cost—commission fee for the exchange service—in addition to the usual costs like freight and customs clearance.

The commission fee charged increases, if the currency that needs to be exchanged is deemed volatile, which is the case with most currencies from developing countries. In extreme cases, Bureau de Changes or banks, will refuse to accept or deal with a rapidly depreciating currency while those using Visa or Mastercard will be asked to deposit in US dollars or any other hard currency.

To further explain this, prospective Amazon or Alibaba customers from Zimbabwe—where the local currency is not readily accepted outside the country—will have to source hard currency on the black market because of ongoing foreign currency shortages. Black market exchange rates are very volatile hence the foreign currency sourced from that market comes with a significant risk premium.

After getting the foreign currency, customers then have to deposit the money into Visa or Mastercard account where transaction fees are inevitable. At the end of the process, a Zimbabwean customer pays more for a particular product than what their German or American counterpart pay for the same product.

 It gets more ridiculous, a Zimbabwean importer of popular plastic shoes (sandak) made in Malawi, is asked to pay in US dollars by the Malawian manufacturer. Apparently, Malawi’s kwacha currency is also volatile just like Zimbabwe’s bond-note currency, consequently Malawian traders demand the stable US dollars to protect their revenues from the volatile currencies.

Similarly trade between Zimbabwe and Zambia business people is afflicted by the same challenges. Zambia’s own kwacha exhibits similar volatility, so naturally, Zambian traders demand US dollars from Zimbabweans as payment.  Zambian traders also pay in US dollars when buying in Zimbabwe because the kwacha is hardly recognized in Harare.

So in nutshell, the three Southern African countries do not trust each other’s currencies and it takes the US dollar—a borderless currency—to  enable transactions. Therefore, while central banks chiefs like to peddle the notion that their institutions infuse confidence into financial markets, the situation explained above paints a different picture. Malawians do not trust their own currency as do Zimbabweans in spite of the two countries having functioning central banks.

Inventors of Bitcoin may have not thought much about the plight of these Southern Africa countries when they created the crypto-currency, however, it is true that the innovation promises a unique solution to this deep-seated problem of currency mistrust.

It is quite illogical, for countries that are connected in almost every other way to have such trade challenges, which stem from the national currencies and imaginary borders. In other words, regional trade should not be curtailed by national currencies that are ever losing value.

This is where crypto-currencies like Bitcoin, Etherium or Litecoin, which are also borderless, can potentially come to the rescue of these Southern African countries. As crypto-currencies gain a foothold in global trade, the lack of confidence stemming from volatile national currencies that currently beset trade across borders, will be eliminated, if trading parties switch to digital currencies.

Bitcoin is the same everywhere, it is like a precious metal, the value is the same everywhere you go. Crypto-currencies have been in existence for almost a decade now yet their adoption remains slow owing to a number of factors.

While the earlier illustration makes a clear case for the wide adoption of crypto-currencies, not everyone shares the same sentiments about Bitcoin or crypto-currencies in general. Actually there is an ongoing effort to stifle their growth because of fear of change or disruption this might cause to their businesses or to their institutions. 

Crypto-currencies are blamed for aiding terrorists, a tool for money launderers and tax evaders. Apparently the volatility of the Bitcoin is enough evidence to prove that crypto-currencies cannot and should not be allowed to at least compete with national currencies.

Of course, this line of thought is no different from that of those who believe, building a wall to stop immigrants from entering a country, is akin to fighting terrorism. They conveniently forget that the same immigrants and their descendants have contributed more to their country.

Unfortunately, fear mongering is a tool that is widely used by less intelligent people and bullies to canvas support for their agenda. And when there are enough gullible people buying into the propaganda, those spreading fear will succeed albeit, temporarily.

Abuse of the technology by some cannot justify denying an entire people from using Bitcoin to settle payments. Bitcoin cannot be the reason why terrorists are there in the first place, even if this digital currency was to somehow disappear tomorrow, terrorists will still be there. In any case, money launderers and terrorists also use cash issued by central banks to pay for whatever they need because it is hard to trace.

A kitchen knife is an essential utensil in any home, but if someone with evil intentions uses it to hurt others, we do not blame the knife but the one committing the misdeed.

So these attempts to soil Bitcoin or crypto-currencies will not work in the long term. What is advisable is for governmental authorities to study digital currencies and make policies that allow the further improvement of this technology not to stifle it.

 Already a few countries are moving in that direction giving them an advantage over those resorting to heavy handed tactics. The future is for the brave.

Terence Zimwara is a writer/analyst based in Zimbabwe. You can contact him on 00263 771799901 or tem2ra@gmail.com, follow him on Facebook and twitter #temra








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