There is a misplaced focus on Bitcoin price, which in turn
creates a wrong basis for discussions around crypto-currencies in general. The current dynamics around the nascent
crypto-currencies make it impossible for its price to stabilize in the short
term.
Different interest groups, the regulators, inexperienced
investors, idealists, opponents of crypto-currencies all play a part, wittingly
or unwittingly, in causing the high price volatility we see in Bitcoin and
other digital currencies.
As each day passes, more and more people get involved in the
discussion about getting rich quickly via Bitcoin and this ensures a steady
flow of new crypto-currency traders or buyers. In most cases, these are less
experienced investors enticed by allure of quick gains. The fluctuation of
Bitcoin price does not deter, in fact it prods novice investors into investing
without clearly understanding everything about crypto-currencies.
Government regulators, too eager to control crypto-currencies
also get into the mix via their statements or threats to the whole digital
currency ecosystem. Obviously this has an effect on prices of these currencies
in short term. People who believe in government statements will be persuaded to
leave crypto-currencies and this affects the price.
Next, there are individuals that, on the surface, appear to
support crypto-currencies yet in reality, their support or lack thereof, is
part of a calculated plan to reap huge profits off the digital currencies.
Again, this has an effect on the prices. For instance, one billionaire labeled
Bitcoin nothing more than a bubble, the price tanked and immediately after, it
was revealed that the same person would be investing in Bitcoin. Such double
speech by prominent people also affects the price of Bitcoin.
That Bitcoin makes global headlines is not in doubt,
however, only a few in the mainstream media do try to simplify this complex
story on an on-going basis for benefit of their audiences. The BBC has a short Bitcoin
video, which attempts to explain the topic in less than three minutes. There
are of course, countless independent videos that try to project Bitcoin in
positive terms, but again, a lot of these videos are created with the intention
of enticing more people to buy. This also has an effect on the price movement
of Bitcoin since this creates demand.
As the year 2018 came
to a close, the approximately 70% drop in the price of Bitcoin became the nexus
of crypto-currency debates across much of the global media.
In the developing world too, the discussions appear to have
veered off the usual path for a new product, which is education, awareness and
more education. In Africa, some people are now more concerned about the alleged
terrorism financing or money laundering associated with crypto-currencies
before they even know the basic story, not only about crypto-currencies, but the
Blockchain technology that underpins Bitcoin.
The deluge of negative news against crypto-currencies is not
helping efforts to highlight the real rationale for the creation of Bitcoin in
the first place. There is still a chance that people most likely to benefit off
a decentralized payments platform, may not even get the chance, as the on-going
war of attrition crypto-currencies is hindering the widespread adoption of
these technologies.
Nevertheless, crypto-currencies have shown resilience, which
in turn emboldens some of the hardcore supporters to keep soldiering on.
Perhaps, these supporters need to increase awareness in communities that need
crypto-currencies the most but are ignorant at the same time.
As explained in previous articles, communities in the
developing world who are excluded from the global financial system, stand to
benefit from decentralized payment platforms. Already, the innovative mobile
money platforms such as Mpesa
and Ecocash have proved technology can
bring financial inclusion to long marginalized communities.
Blockchain has many elements that are even better than mobile
money services and one such element is cross-border payments. Popular mobile
money services are only effective in the countries where the service providers
operate. It is impossible to sent money from Zimbabwe via mobile phone to
someone in Kenya without making prior arrangements with banks.
This means sourcing
the foreign currency, which has costs and meeting regulatory requirements,
another costly process. In other words, with Blockchain, there are no other intermediaries
to contend with before a transaction goes through.
With Blockchain, the transfer is seamless, no middle
man/women, no currency exchange, clients pay directly and the funds are
received instantly. Already, there is one crypto-currency exchange, PaxFul, which is enabling cross-border remittances
by expatriate Africans to their homelands, according to a report by CoinDesk.
It is these elements of crypto-currencies that should be the
focus of debate and not the price volatility. When marginalized communities
begin to understand crypto-currencies in this context (remittances), it is
possible then to see a faster embrace of the technology in the developing world.
As long as the technology serves a need, it will become part of the mainstream
just as mobile money services have become part of the mainstream in some
African countries.
As explained before, crypto-currencies attract people from
different backgrounds with different agendas, therefore it is hard to get
everyone behind the long term agenda of the creators of Bitcoin. However, those
motivated by the desire to see crypto-currencies grow and become part of the
mainstream must step up efforts to engage communities where awareness is still
a challenge.
This means taking the fight to opponents, some who even use
religion to try and block the ascendancy of crypto-currencies and the
Blockchain technology. The world needs alternatives to powerful centralized
systems and more importantly, the world needs competition everywhere so that
citizens rights or welfare is enhanced.
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